Bitcoin FIRE Calculator



Models Detailed Explanations

Year Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7
2024 45.0% 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 48.4% 48.8% 50.0%
2025 43.8% 39.0% 34.2% 29.4% 44.9% 46.2% 50.0%
2026 42.5% 38.0% 33.4% 28.8% 42.1% 42.6% 41.7%
2027 41.3% 37.0% 32.6% 28.2% 39.2% 39.2% 39.1%
2028 40.2% 36.0% 31.9% 27.6% 37.1% 37.0% 36.6%
2029 39.1% 35.1% 31.1% 27.1% 34.8% 34.9% 34.9%
2030 38.0% 34.2% 30.4% 26.5% 33.1% 33.1% 32.8%
2031 36.9% 33.3% 29.7% 26.0% 31.2% 31.3% 31.4%
2032 35.9% 32.5% 29.0% 25.4% 29.5% 29.5% 29.5%
2033 34.9% 31.6% 28.3% 24.9% 28.3% 28.1% 28.4%
2034 33.9% 30.8% 27.7% 24.4% 27.0% 27.0% 27.1%
2035 33.0% 30.0% 27.0% 23.9% 25.6% 25.7% 25.7%
2036 32.1% 29.3% 26.4% 23.4% 24.5% 24.6% 24.6%
2037 31.2% 28.5% 25.8% 22.9% 23.4% 23.7% 23.7%
2038 30.3% 27.8% 25.2% 22.5% 22.2% 22.7% 22.8%
2039 29.5% 27.1% 24.6% 22.0% 21.0% 21.6% 21.7%
2040 28.7% 26.4% 24.0% 21.6% 19.8% 20.6% 20.4%
2041 27.9% 25.7% 23.5% 21.1% 18.6% 19.6% 19.6%
2042 27.1% 25.1% 22.9% 20.7% 17.7% 18.6% 18.6%
2043 26.3% 24.4% 22.4% 20.3% 16.8% 17.7% 17.7%
2044 25.6% 23.8% 21.9% 19.9% 15.9% 16.8% 16.8%
2045 24.9% 23.2% 21.3% 19.4% 15.1% 15.9% 15.9%
2046 24.2% 22.6% 20.9% 19.0% 14.4% 15.1% 15.1%
2047 23.5% 22.0% 20.4% 18.6% 13.6% 14.4% 14.4%
2048 22.9% 21.4% 19.9% 18.3% 12.9% 13.6% 13.6%
2049 22.2% 20.9% 19.4% 17.9% 12.3% 12.9% 12.9%
2050 21.6% 20.3% 19.0% 17.5% 11.7% 12.3% 12.3%
2051 21.0% 19.8% 18.5% 17.2% 11.1% 11.7% 11.7%
2052 20.4% 19.3% 18.1% 16.8% 10.5% 11.1% 11.1%
2053 19.9% 18.8% 17.7% 16.5% 10.0% 10.5% 10.5%
Historic CAGR
Historic CAGR

Power Law Model Example: Power Law